Friday, July 2, 2010
Project Planning SP 1.2 - Task Attribute: Effort or Size?
Tuesday, February 23, 2010
How Do I Determine Estimates of the Size Attributes?
During appraisals it has been noted that most of the time we are relying on expert knowledge to determine effort and cost rather than estimating the sizing attributes. Just using expert knowledge makes it difficult to improve our effort estimation, hence having a dedicated set of attributes is essential in order for us to improve our estimations. We have evaluated some comprehensive methods (e.g. Function Points), but these are not considered as beneficial to our projects. We are now looking for an approach that allows us to improve our estimates with a simpler method which could then be refined based on our needs. Would you please give me advice how to tackle this challenge?
What PP SP 1.2 is looking for is the Basis of Estimate for the work product. If you are estimating a document for example, what aspects or attributes of the document can you estimate that when combined with a productivity factor will yield effort and cost? You determine these attributes by analyzing the historical data from your organization’s past projects. So based on the project’s requirements, you could estimate the number of pages that would be written for a document, the number of figures or drawings that need to be created or modified, etc. These items are then sizing parameters.
For source code, you need to analyze historical data from past projects to give an empirical estimate. As you say, function points are comprehensive. A simpler method may be to classify your software requirements in categories such as interface requirements, display requirements, processing requirements, reporting requirements, etc. and then using your historical data determine the correlations between these requirements categories and code size. Many organizations start with this simple kind of estimation/prediction model and continually refine it by incorporating data from each new project until a fairly accurate estimation model emerges. This estimation model is then very specific to the organization and type of software development it performs.
Hope these ideas help.
Thursday, April 9, 2009
Estimation Rationale
What PP SP 1.2 is addressing is the Basis of Estimate for the project tasks, deliverables, etc. Basically this practice is looking for the sizing attributes that you use to ultimately determine your effort estimates. For a document, an attribute you might estimate is the number of pages for the document that have to be added, modified, or deleted. For hardware, it might be the number of drawings you have to maintain. For software, it might be the number of lines of code, function points, etc. Just using small, medium, or large doesn’t provide a Basis for Estimate. The Basis of Estimate is then your estimation model that is derived from the historical data from prior projects going through this same process. When you first begin to use the Basis of Estimate approach you may not have very good data, or no data at all. So the best you can do is make a guess as to the estimate (SWAG or engineering judgment). But over time as you collect the project data from each project, you will be able to refine this approach and have much better estimates. Then you take these sizing parameters or attributes and apply a productivity factor, again based on your historical data, to arrive at the effort and cost estimates in SP 1.4.