Is This a Valid Performance Model?

Is a reliability growth model considered to be a valid PPM in the CMMI?


Asking this question out of context with what you do in the organization does not have a lot of meaning.  The correct answer is both yes and no.  Please remember what High Maturity is all about.  You begin with setting your business goals and objectives and use them to derive your Quality and Process Performance Objectives (QPPOs).  These QPPOs in turn will lead you to the proper measures, process performance baselines (PPBs), and process performance models (PPMs) that your organization needs to quantitatively and statistically manage your work.So, if Reliability Growth is a critical process or sub-process and you have sufficient data to analyze to determine that you have a stable and capable process, then a reliability growth model might be considered a valid PPM.

But just selecting models without performing the analysis I just sketched out is incorrect and you will not be able to demonstrate that your organization is a High Maturity organization.

Thanks for the detail. I just happen to see in CMMI v1.3 High Maturity in which the "reliability model growth" which was given as example in OPP SP1.5 (CMMI v1.2) is deleted. Does it mean that reliability growth model will not be accepted in CMMI v1.3? Or the reliability growth model is not acceptable by the experts? Or is it only good if you use CMM v1.2  and not for CMMI v1.3?

As CMMI v1.3 is an improvement and the practices are carefully analyzed by the SEI and experts, is it advisible to use the reliability growth model given in CMMI v1.2? Or there is any chance that CMMI v1.3 will include the reliability growth model as an example?


Apparently there is some misunderstanding of my answer above.  Whether the CMMI contains the reliability growth model as an example or not is irrelevant to whether or not it is a good model.  Your organization has to mathematically analyze its data, business objectives, QPPOs, PPBs, and PPMs to determine if there is a need for using a reliability growth model.  Do the following analysis:

1. Describe the reliability growth model in probabilistic terms.
2. Define the critical sub-processes (those that must be consistently and correctly followed every time) that can be managed using the reliability growth model.
3. Define how a project manager uses the reliability growth model in the context of his or her projects to predict performance, "what-if" analysis, and predict QPPO achievement.
4. Provide an equation or show by other means how the stable sub-processes that you have identified in your processes contribute to the reliability growth model.
5. List the other models that are used in conjunction with reliability growth model and why it has statistical relevance.

Once you have performed this analysis you will have enough information to answer this question yourself.